September Election Forecast: Many Races Too Close For Comfort

The Centrist Chronicle’s forecasting team previously forecasted the elections of 2020 and 2022 with a greater rate of accuracy than 538, RealClearPolitics, and most other projection agencies. As the United States nears the final months of campaign season, we will begin forecasting the Presidential and Congressional Elections on a monthly basis. 

For the month of September, we are confident in our projection of Democratic victories for the White House and the House of Representatives. Control for the Senate, however, is too close to call. 

As you look through our maps, please note that blue indicates a Democratic victory, red indicates a Republican victory, and yellow indicates that the race is still too close to call. Our final projection on Election Day will eliminate the final category, and provide a conclusive forecast for each race.

Presidential Election Forecast: Kamala Harris wins the Presidency with 319 Electoral Votes, with 219 going to Donald Trump.

Senate Election Forecast: The Republicans currently sit at 50 seats, the Democrats at 49. Montana is too close to call.

House Election Forecast: The Democrats are likely to win 218 seats, the Republicans 206. 11 seats remain too close to call.